Category Archives: Curmudgeon

The Market: Cornerstone or Stumbling Block?

There are markets, and there is the Market. Markets are networks of people who come together to exchange one thing for another. The Market is the cornerstone of a belief system whose biggest proponent has been the University of Chicago. Chicago: Hog Butcher for the World, according to Carl Sandburg in 1912, whose economy was […]

Also posted in LIBOR, Rating Agencies | 2 Comments

Rope-a-Dope Securitization Economics: Part I

The high road of securitization is forward-looking. It promotes economic growth and rewards superior asset quality. Securitization is alive and doing well in grass-roots economies. But maybe you have not come to our blog to read about the high road of securitization. Maybe you have come looking for a map to lead you off the […]

Also posted in Ann Rutledge, Federal Reserve Bank, Fitch, Moody's Investors Service, Rating Agencies, Securities Exchange Commission, Standard and Poor's, fraud | Leave a comment

The Moody’s Blues

The last entry in this journal was rather pessimistic. In it, we recounted what was likely to happen from the Fed’s irresponsible attitude towards cutting interest rates without a workable plan in mind about what to do next. Our verdict was that nothing good was to come out of it. However, that still left open […]

Also posted in Moody's Investors Service, Rating Agencies, Sylvain Raynes | Leave a comment

Pseudo-Fed: Bury your Head in the Sand

Just a few days ago, the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve pumped enough cash into the US economy to lower interest rates by 75 basis points. For the average American citizen, who would be hard pressed to define what a basis point means, this most recent Fed action is at best meaningless. To […]

Also posted in Federal Reserve Bank | Leave a comment

"You won’t know who to trust." (from Sneakers)

In early 2004, we were asked to join a professional support team to help a new equipment lessor get financing through the structured market. The premise of the deal, the team, and our role in it, were not new. The endgame, to get a monoline insurance company to wrap the senior tranches so as to […]

Also posted in Ann Rutledge, credit scores, equipment lease securitization, monoline, risk measurement, science, statistics, structured securities | Leave a comment

Structured Finance: the Unknown Ideal

The last six months have brought American finance to the edge of the abyss. Mortals who, not so long ago, had seemingly achieved demiurge deal-making status are now experiencing their Götterdammerung. A single question now poses and imposes itself: what will the next six months reveal about our financial understanding? As always, only two possibilities […]

Also posted in Sylvain Raynes, structured finance | Leave a comment

Are We Feeling Enough Pain Yet?

So, structured ratings are not good indicators of secondary market value, and market prices are not working their usual magic. Why are we surprised?
More importantly, how do we want the sector-wide securitization crisis of confidence to turn out? Do we secretly desire a return to financial feudalism? Because, unless we step up and take ownership […]

Also posted in Ann Rutledge | Leave a comment

It’s Time to Meet Subprime Devil We Don’t Know

By Caroline BaumAug. 24 (Bloomberg) — Ever since financial markets went into their summer swoon, economists, analysts and journalists have been trying to explain why a small number of defaults on a small number of home loans morphed into a global liquidity and credit squeeze.
How on earth did the subprime mess come to this? […]

Also posted in Caroline Baum, Sylvain Raynes, subprime mortgage crisis | Leave a comment

The Collapse of the Tacoma Narrows Bridge

A cautionary tale about finance
The collapse of the Tacoma Narrows Bridge, due to unforeseen resonance effects, is more than a watershed in the history of bridge design and civil engineering. It is an object lesson in the need to fully understand a problem before designing its solution.
The Tacoma Narrows Bridge, November 7th 1940
Bridges and airplanes represent decades […]

Also posted in Sylvain Raynes, cautionary tales | Leave a comment
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